Marist Red Foxes vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65637d026573248a3b8f3583232655c7c7fa97cfd55e37b9e4368da23dcf3f68

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Saint Peter's Peacocksof Marist Red Foxes, Saint Peter's Peacocks
Resolved: Jan 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $11,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $11,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,764 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Marist Red Foxes	34c	883.49$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Saint Peter's Peacocks	42c	788.3$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.28	1,391	44.1%613 W · 778 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Marist Red Foxes	58c	707.9$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.29	252	54.8%138 W · 114 L	-15.7wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Marist Red Foxes	55c	597.49$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.54	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	45c	546.67$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.67	161	35.4%57 W · 104 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks	44c	525$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	250	43.2%108 W · 142 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Marist Red Foxes	37c	480.65$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.84	153	56.2%86 W · 67 L	+14.9wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Marist Red Foxes	73c	438.79$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.96	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Marist Red Foxes	38c	379.3$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	65c	366.85$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.56	480	51%245 W · 235 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	38c	269$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.45	735	49.1%361 W · 374 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks	35c	221$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.14	1,540	41.3%636 W · 904 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	29c	196.64$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.04	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marist Red Foxes	40c	180$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.4	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	39c	152.77$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.45	2,003	53.7%1,076 W · 927 L	+101.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Marist Red Foxes	51c	128.98$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.2	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	369	42.3%156 W · 213 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Marist Red Foxes	46c	98.6$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.01	1,985	64.1%1,273 W · 712 L	+144.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Marist Red Foxes	58c	96$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.36	56	62.5%35 W · 21 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Marist Red Foxes	57c	84.14$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.98	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Marist Red Foxes	55c	74.1$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.72	323	43%139 W · 184 L	-18.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks	43c	72.34$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.24	1,531	50.1%767 W · 764 L	+34.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Marist Red Foxes	36c	49.61$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Saint Peter's Peacocks	40c	28.95$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.37	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Marist Red Foxes	44c	24.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Marist Red Foxes	56c	24.12$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.51	215	35.3%76 W · 139 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Marist Red Foxes	76c	13.39$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.18	190	55.3%105 W · 85 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Marist Red Foxes vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market