CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6564c5ede373281ba7c241ffd405f64e2d94c82cd80ce83e79c5aba1454336c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 1,597$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.99 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 29c | 1,040$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.59 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Lavked | 31c | 1,003$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.61 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed Lavked | 32c | 776.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Lavked | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Nemesis | 71c | 390.14$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 326.47$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.47 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lavked | 31c | 229.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked | 20c | 192$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lavked | 10c | 188.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 168.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lavked | 20c | 163.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 162.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lavked | 24c | 151.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 134.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Lavked | 30c | 130.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis | 78c | 104.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…1c2dbacked Lavked | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 16c | 85.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Lavked | 30c | 80.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…aaa0backed Lavked | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 58.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…c069backed Lavked | 30c | 52.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Team Nemesis | 70c | 52.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 50.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Lavked | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 45.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 43.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e47…d9a6backed Lavked | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…c406backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 23.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…42c2backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…0cbebacked Team Nemesis | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 15.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.