TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Cincinnati Reds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,073 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Cincinnati Reds63c931.78$587 inLost-$586.6714156%79 W · 62 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels37c611.72$226 inWon+$385.385,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Los Angeles Angels39c289.02$113 inWon+$176.334145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Los Angeles Angels39c277.51$108 inWon+$169.281,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cincinnati Reds15c257.77$38 inLost-$38.082,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Los Angeles Angels38c250.48$96 inWon+$154.7741141.4%170 W · 241 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Cincinnati Reds62c157.61$98 inLost-$97.7213248.5%64 W · 68 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Cincinnati Reds61c150.13$92 inLost-$91.585350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Cincinnati Reds62c126.09$78 inLost-$78.1866551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Los Angeles Angels39c96.34$38 inWon+$58.7757747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels52c85.44$44 inWon+$41.46,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Cincinnati Reds62c84$52 inLost-$52.0836649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Cincinnati Reds63c83.8$53 inLost-$52.7957551.7%297 W · 278 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Angels38c70$27 inWon+$43.42,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Cincinnati Reds61c66$40 inLost-$40.2647848.5%232 W · 246 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Cincinnati Reds48c63$30 inLost-$30.2444945.9%206 W · 243 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Cincinnati Reds63c50$32 inLost-$31.54434.1%15 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cincinnati Reds62c42.32$26 inLost-$26.2432348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Los Angeles Angels47c40.14$19 inWon+$21.1455464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Reds53c35.32$19 inLost-$18.7165050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Cincinnati Reds62c22.07$14 inLost-$13.6889950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Cincinnati Reds62c22.07$14 inLost-$13.6831650.6%160 W · 156 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Cincinnati Reds50c20$10 inLost-$1027053.7%145 W · 125 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.