Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65d17c885bcf8755030e2389c60228d8de113d639873ffa904aac3ba826de0d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,151$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.33 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 744.93$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.57 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 64c | 631.63$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.85 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 10c | 451.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.3 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 21c | 416.09$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.03 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 378.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.83 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 12c | 334.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.08 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 13c | 292.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.6 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 11c | 273.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.49 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked No | 58c | 272.43$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 10c | 266.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.59 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…16a2backed Yes | 16c | 242.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.56 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 7c | 230$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…1586backed Yes | 11c | 213.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 30c | 206.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.34 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…cf4abacked No | 35c | 201.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 10c | 198.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.08 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…abd9backed Yes | 77c | 190.13$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 12c | 175.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.21 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed Yes | 12c | 172.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1246…9fbdbacked Yes | 55c | 164.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 20c | 149.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.36 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 56c | 143.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 10c | 141.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.9 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dab…e426backed No | 40c | 131.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…bde6backed Yes | 24c | 126.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…e0f1backed Yes | 15c | 124.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…e61bbacked Yes | 21c | 123.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 10c | 118.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 50c | 111.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 14c | 109.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 55c | 109.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…8f47backed No | 13c | 107.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 57c | 105.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 38c | 105.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01cc…1f09backed No | 34c | 103.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…6651backed Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 73c | 99.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 28c | 95.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c507backed Yes | 15c | 95.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…b4bebacked Yes | 66c | 88.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4464…b76dbacked Yes | 21c | 86.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…8daabacked Yes | 13c | 82.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…9c23backed Yes | 14c | 79.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 13c | 78.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 48c | 76.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 14c | 76.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 15c | 72.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…b3ccbacked Yes | 15c | 71.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 16c | 71.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 66.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…7b4fbacked Yes | 16c | 65.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…22e0backed Yes | 79c | 63.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed Yes | 21c | 63.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 75c | 53.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 20c | 51.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 52c | 49.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 69c | 48.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed No | 66c | 48.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…8f49backed No | 75c | 44.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed Yes | 35c | 42.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 66c | 39.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf882…a45abacked Yes | 39c | 37.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…899dbacked No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7396…b89cbacked No | 77c | 30.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 107 | 80.4%86 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…54c9backed No | 49c | 29.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 69c | 29.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…91f8backed No | 79c | 26.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…ad2cbacked No | 73c | 26.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…d3b7backed Yes | 47c | 24.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85e…de9ebacked No | 67c | 20.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…45d5backed Yes | 62c | 19.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe208…e98cbacked No | 78c | 19.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 80c | 18.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c6…c7bfbacked No | 77c | 16.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 80c | 15.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda99…322fbacked No | 73c | 15.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.