Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01dc11997ae86a3f90195d19ff986aa061fead87535f6c1b6239844b4e99622e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x035a…ff68backed Yes | 13c | 1,124$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 24c | 592.68$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 575.81$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.8 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed No | 76c | 562.71$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 30c | 484.2$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.24 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…19fabacked Yes | 24c | 430.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Yes | 71c | 346.78$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.34 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 23c | 327.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 27c | 293.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 20c | 273.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked Yes | 18c | 255.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 38c | 231.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 71c | 231.61$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 77c | 168.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…9808backed No | 73c | 162.17$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 92 | 77.2%71 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 8c | 158.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 183 | 16.4%30 W · 153 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 64c | 139.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…f456backed Yes | 33c | 130.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 72c | 130.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 76c | 129.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 33c | 120.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 23c | 119.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 118.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…bde6backed Yes | 29c | 111.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 21c | 108.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 104.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 18c | 104.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 61c | 103.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…4dd2backed No | 67c | 101.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Yes | 24c | 101.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…2263backed Yes | 40c | 99.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…0179backed Yes | 30c | 96.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 25c | 95.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 94.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…77a7backed Yes | 33c | 93.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed Yes | 38c | 93.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…88e2backed Yes | 47c | 89.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 28c | 87.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 19c | 84.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 67c | 78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 54c | 75.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec0…3baabacked No | 67c | 75.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 22c | 73.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 22c | 71.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…16a2backed Yes | 29c | 68.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…197bbacked Yes | 30c | 67.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…03d9backed Yes | 25c | 62.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +82%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 59c | 62.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21e…bcdbbacked No | 66c | 62.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…eabbbacked Yes | 20c | 61.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 239 | 23.4%56 W · 183 L | -17.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7396…b89cbacked No | 78c | 60.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 107 | 80.4%86 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 19c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…ffdfbacked Yes | 47c | 59.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 25c | 58.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…f052backed No | 39c | 57.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…8f47backed No | 45c | 56.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 32c | 56.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013a…e374backed Yes | 34c | 54.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b16backed Yes | 29c | 50.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4464…b76dbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 75c | 49.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Yes | 29c | 47.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 148 | 33.1%49 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 22c | 46.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 69c | 45.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…befcbacked Yes | 35c | 42.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…0201backed Yes | 30c | 41.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…b3ccbacked Yes | 26c | 38.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…e954backed Yes | 28c | 37.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d0abbacked No | 68c | 37.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa78b…52f1backed No | 72c | 36.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…fa02backed No | 68c | 36.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 33c | 32.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 40c | 31.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 70c | 29.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 44c | 29.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 64c | 28.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…57d5backed Yes | 49c | 28.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…994dbacked Yes | 46c | 28.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…5bf0backed No | 70c | 27.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…e245backed No | 80c | 27.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 86 | 76.7%66 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 74c | 26.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…e34cbacked No | 70c | 26.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcafd…b861backed No | 70c | 25.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…5f98backed No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 64c | 22.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…961fbacked No | 68c | 22.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 74c | 21.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 75c | 20.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…383bbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 208 | 66.8%139 W · 69 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…1586backed No | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…7b4fbacked No | 73c | 19.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.