TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Towson Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Towson Tigersof Stony Brook Seawolves, Towson Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,501 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdb8…abbebacked Stony Brook Seawolves27c1,428$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.591,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Towson Tigers72c1,221$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.575,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Stony Brook Seawolves29c1,192$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3447727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Towson Tigers73c688.77$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8268254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Stony Brook Seawolves28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14037142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Towson Tigers72c354$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1226254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Stony Brook Seawolves29c344.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Towson Tigers76c262.65$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.895,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Towson Tigers72c247.54$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.291,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Towson Tigers74c237.56$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.623,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Stony Brook Seawolves13c201$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.872,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Stony Brook Seawolves30c200.16$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.632,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Stony Brook Seawolves32c192.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Towson Tigers70c189.37$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0911252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Towson Tigers75c186.7$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2999848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Towson Tigers71c181$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4992246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Stony Brook Seawolves29c179.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.231537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Towson Tigers68c152.03$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Towson Tigers69c144.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.293650%18 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Towson Tigers70c124$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.591,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Towson Tigers72c119.02$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Towson Tigers71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Stony Brook Seawolves34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Stony Brook Seawolves30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Stony Brook Seawolves25c97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.253,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Towson Tigers78c81$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5649747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stony Brook Seawolves25c78.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Stony Brook Seawolves28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Towson Tigers73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.494877.1%37 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Stony Brook Seawolves30c66.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0125230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Stony Brook Seawolves16c66.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2612748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Stony Brook Seawolves29c54.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Towson Tigers76c43.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.671,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e3a…752fbacked Towson Tigers73c37.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Stony Brook Seawolves29c34.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0117634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Towson Tigers69c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9225152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Towson Tigers70c28.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4642751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b6e…b1a7backed Towson Tigers71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1714448.6%70 W · 74 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc14d…f8b4backed Towson Tigers71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.135933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Towson Tigers74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e0…be18backed Towson Tigers72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.68664%55 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bab…2022backed Towson Tigers73c16.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.443974.4%29 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5afa…3dd1backed Towson Tigers73c16.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.431283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Towson Tigers70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.56648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.