Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Worcestershire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6671630174e94227430c97e10a1889a1bf6ba45b99cbfb3f9b188e158b6e4289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warwickshireof Warwickshire, Worcestershire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Warwickshire | 69c | 1,402$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.67 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Worcestershire | 39c | 928.24$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.28 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Worcestershire | 31c | 550$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 81 | 13.6%11 W · 70 L | -12.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Worcestershire | 5c | 410$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Warwickshire | 69c | 376.28$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Worcestershire | 12c | 365.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Worcestershire | 13c | 247$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Worcestershire | 12c | 237.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Worcestershire | 17c | 237.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Warwickshire | 75c | 203$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 235 | 34.5%81 W · 154 L | -18.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Worcestershire | 34c | 193.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 325 | 40.9%133 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Worcestershire | 29c | 191$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 188 | 52.1%98 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Warwickshire | 74c | 179.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 432 | 44.2%191 W · 241 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Worcestershire | 14c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Warwickshire | 75c | 100.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Warwickshire | 76c | 91.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Worcestershire | 12c | 89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Worcestershire | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Worcestershire | 23c | 75.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Worcestershire | 25c | 43.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Worcestershire | 45c | 40.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Warwickshire | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 262 | 48.1%126 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Warwickshire | 76c | 30.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Warwickshire | 55c | 25.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Warwickshire | 57c | 17.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Worcestershirethis page
- T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Worcestershire - Who wins the toss?Worcestershire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.