Fifa International · resolved market
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6676222b6470a9d7396ddc2c2227b23f2dff631240b16575efbfe18f6975ac60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 31c | 1,709$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.76 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…71f4backed Over | 30c | 1,647$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 71c | 1,643$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 9c | 1,092$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 70c | 956.17$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.85 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 638.02$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.79 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 29c | 627.22$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.89 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 28c | 556.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.95 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 70c | 551.74$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.18 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 29c | 540$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d3…e903backed Under | 70c | 322.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 72c | 307.97$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea5…14d8backed Under | 71c | 210.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Under | 72c | 194.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 32c | 151.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 71c | 125.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 16c | 114.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 71c | 102.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373f…36fcbacked Over | 21c | 95.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 78c | 79.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 26c | 75.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…d121backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…ea2ebacked Over | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Under | 78c | 56.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…5701backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…08a6backed Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 252 | 21.4%54 W · 198 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 462 | 47.6%220 W · 242 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 69c | 30.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 69c | 28.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Under | 76c | 21.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…a2f2backed Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 143 | 74.8%107 W · 36 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 70c | 20.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 70c | 15.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.