Fifa International · resolved market
Will Egypt finish second in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x668433eec77706c8649ada5fd3257e2425c40dc09c8be426281551a0cb02e532
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed No | 55c | 470.04$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.25 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…6123backed Yes | 38c | 329.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 45c | 275$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 32c | 247.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.4 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 63c | 180.78$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.73 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 79c | 145.52$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 51c | 105.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…51d5backed Yes | 46c | 94.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…cef0backed Yes | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…bc5cbacked No | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 61c | 54.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Yes | 38c | 52.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed Yes | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…7085backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 30c | 37.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…17b5backed No | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…a580backed No | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…599ebacked No | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked Yes | 45c | 28.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…4256backed No | 56c | 26.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 46c | 25.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5527…5d03backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…0cc9backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Egypt finish second in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will Belgium finish second in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Iran finish second in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.