CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66b310932c1cc8babb42403ae5f13814f375090e692f0567faf0e39ea275ca10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 2,139$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.11 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked Team Nemesis | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 1,800$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.05 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed G2 | 69c | 1,505$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.61 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 1,379$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.6 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed G2 | 74c | 1,282$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.77 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed G2 | 68c | 1,159$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.96 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…227abacked G2 | 71c | 971.82$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.39 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Nemesis | 11c | 846.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Team Nemesis | 13c | 758.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 626.28$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.33 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed G2 | 73c | 499.95$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed G2 | 72c | 349.26$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…962ebacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 343.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed G2 | 72c | 273.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed G2 | 72c | 225.43$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked G2 | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Team Nemesis | 13c | 178.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Nemesis | 13c | 158.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 27c | 143.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked G2 | 70c | 139.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Team Nemesis | 27c | 133.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Team Nemesis | 9c | 126.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Nemesis | 15c | 115.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed G2 | 70c | 112.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 108.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Team Nemesis | 11c | 94.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed G2 | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…0a78backed G2 | 74c | 60.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Nemesis | 21c | 52.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3966…c918backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 51.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 27c | 49.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf462…2cd4backed G2 | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf106…8dc9backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 37.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed G2 | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed G2 | 74c | 31.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed G2 | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e9…4a1bbacked G2 | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 74cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…6e8ebacked G2 | 71c | 27.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5636…4479backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 26.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed G2 | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed G2 | 72c | 16.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad02…ac52backed G2 | 72c | 13.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 PlayoffsG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.