CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5388cb76615ad6e36ba8893c6294e4e8809b8ac7226b675d20a649c4997685cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce99…227abacked G2 | 78c | 1,325$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.41 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 1,226$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.59 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 1,224$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.17 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 1,171$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.85 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed G2 | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 986.27$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.25 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Team Nemesis | 5c | 977.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Nemesis | 23c | 796.65$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.88 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked G2 | 75c | 728.55$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.08 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed G2 | 78c | 712.95$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.78 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 | 79c | 670.83$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.39 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed G2 | 78c | 585.38$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 505.46$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Nemesis | 21c | 459.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba2…89cfbacked G2 | 78c | 451.44$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Team Nemesis | 19c | 399.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…5298backed G2 | 79c | 375.54$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed G2 | 78c | 367.2$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 298.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Team Nemesis | 13c | 182.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 178.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked G2 | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…c07cbacked Team Nemesis | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Team Nemesis | 17c | 117.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 849 | 37.8%321 W · 528 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed G2 | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed G2 | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 13c | 97.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 | 75c | 96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed G2 | 77c | 87.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Nemesis | 19c | 85.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Nemesis | 17c | 64.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed G2 | 78c | 60.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…791abacked G2 | 78c | 36.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…6e8ebacked G2 | 79c | 33.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked G2 | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed G2 | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 PlayoffsG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.