Tennis · resolved market
Newport: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Lea Ma
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66bef01098530d7cc839902f10a49e29617f0292f9938866f48c7f3894fea27f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mananchaya Sawangkaewof Mananchaya Sawangkaew, Lea Ma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lea Ma | 20c | 8,629$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.53 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lea Ma | 20c | 3,718$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lea Ma | 4c | 2,701$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lea Ma | 15c | 2,190$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.41 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.43 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lea Ma | 19c | 1,103$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.95 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Lea Ma | 15c | 1,005$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.68 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lea Ma | 18c | 534.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lea Ma | 23c | 499.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Lea Ma | 15c | 402.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 77c | 272.22$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Lea Ma | 20c | 251.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Lea Ma | 17c | 240$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 79c | 228$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Lea Ma | 18c | 192.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Lea Ma | 22c | 184.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Lea Ma | 20c | 160.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lea Ma | 18c | 158$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lea Ma | 15c | 147.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Lea Ma | 16c | 126.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Lea Ma | 20c | 122.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Lea Ma | 20c | 122.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lea Ma | 12c | 114$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lea Ma | 18c | 96.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Lea Ma | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 77c | 37.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 79c | 25.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 77c | 22.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.