Tennis · resolved market
ITF Focsani: Daria Yesypchuk vs Maria Sara Popa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66ccdd4547433708730a6ad1622f9d419118ce729a1ceecfaa5fbd2181dd0e78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Yesypchukof Daria Yesypchuk, Maria Sara Popa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Maria Sara Popa | 23c | 4,041$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.83 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daria Yesypchuk | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.79 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed Maria Sara Popa | 72c | 1,034$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Maria Sara Popa | 2c | 1,014$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Maria Sara Popa | 10c | 681.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maria Sara Popa | 75c | 681.2$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.78 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Daria Yesypchuk | 52c | 620.67$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.92 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…7650backed Daria Yesypchuk | 52c | 560.23$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.91 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maria Sara Popa | 71c | 557.51$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.83 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Maria Sara Popa | 10c | 547.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Maria Sara Popa | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daria Yesypchuk | 58c | 490.78$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.66 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daria Yesypchuk | 51c | 360.24$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.54 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1132…5a2fbacked Daria Yesypchuk | 53c | 354.72$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Daria Yesypchuk | 57c | 326.09$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Maria Sara Popa | 10c | 240$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Maria Sara Popa | 72c | 239$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Maria Sara Popa | 10c | 238.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maria Sara Popa | 36c | 230.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Daria Yesypchuk | 52c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Maria Sara Popa | 10c | 187$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Daria Yesypchuk | 51c | 155$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Maria Sara Popa | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Maria Sara Popa | 71c | 130.18$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Daria Yesypchuk | 29c | 129.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Daria Yesypchuk | 28c | 114.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Maria Sara Popa | 71c | 114$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Daria Yesypchuk | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Maria Sara Popa | 18c | 67.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Maria Sara Popa | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Daria Yesypchuk | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Maria Sara Popa | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Maria Sara Popa | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Daria Yesypchuk | 56c | 33.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Maria Sara Popa | 75c | 25.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Daria Yesypchuk | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.