CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Game Hunters - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66e0be382475be60e59a6f10b58bccc2c6c23ef17de62ce8fa2dbf7456b3b728
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Game Hunters | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Keyd | 68c | 1,949$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.03 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e4…11f2backed Game Hunters | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Game Hunters | 18c | 1,062$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.11 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Game Hunters | 27c | 1,000$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.25 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Game Hunters | 22c | 588.37$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Game Hunters | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Game Hunters | 17c | 433.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Game Hunters | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Game Hunters | 7c | 391.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Game Hunters | 8c | 362.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Game Hunters | 27c | 259.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Game Hunters | 11c | 254$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 60c | 212$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 66c | 211$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Keyd | 61c | 206.52$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Game Hunters | 39c | 201$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Keyd | 66c | 175.18$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Keyd | 63c | 156.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 64c | 147.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Game Hunters | 12c | 143.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Game Hunters | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keyd | 62c | 103.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c0…6fa5backed Game Hunters | 25c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Keyd | 65c | 96.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Game Hunters | 35c | 89.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Keyd | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Game Hunters | 28c | 73.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Game Hunters | 22c | 69.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Game Hunters | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Keyd | 70c | 51.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Keyd | 63c | 50.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Keyd | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Game Hunters | 35c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Keyd | 63c | 45.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Keyd | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Keyd | 63c | 40.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed Keyd | 76c | 39.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Keyd | 73c | 37.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…3474backed Keyd | 78c | 31.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Keyd | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Keyd | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Keyd | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Keyd | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Keyd | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Game Hunters - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Game Hunters - Map 1 WinnerGame Hunters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5)Game Hunters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.