CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Game Hunters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a733cc9e8ddb499c08469f631acbebfe27624992624a43d3a567f79ce327f3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Game Huntersof Keyd, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Keyd | 46c | 3,223$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.47 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Game Hunters | 47c | 2,043$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.77 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Keyd | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Game Hunters | 58c | 1,568$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.68 | 557 | 36.3%202 W · 355 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Game Hunters | 67c | 1,058$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.13 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Game Hunters | 56c | 955.08$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.62 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Game Hunters | 61c | 897.01$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.62 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Keyd | 56c | 836$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.4 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Keyd | 13c | 782.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keyd | 30c | 642.15$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.55 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Game Hunters | 55c | 546.16$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.34 | 147 | 49.7%73 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Keyd | 34c | 408.52$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Keyd | 43c | 394.62$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.39 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 65c | 334.41$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.07 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Game Hunters | 52c | 296.86$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Game Hunters | 74c | 288.49$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Game Hunters | 56c | 287.63$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Keyd | 47c | 271$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Keyd | 20c | 239$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Keyd | 40c | 223.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Keyd | 35c | 210.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Keyd | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 38c | 189.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Keyd | 52c | 173.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Keyd | 32c | 171.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Game Hunters | 41c | 168.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Keyd | 41c | 166$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…9dc6backed Game Hunters | 64c | 165.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Game Hunters | 51c | 152.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 594 | 45.8%272 W · 322 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Game Hunters | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Keyd | 48c | 149.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Keyd | 43c | 146$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Keyd | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 412 | 54.9%226 W · 186 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…15fcbacked Keyd | 66c | 135.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Keyd | 27c | 128.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Keyd | 40c | 127.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Keyd | 42c | 119.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 404 | 55.4%224 W · 180 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Game Hunters | 69c | 111.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Keyd | 39c | 111.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Keyd | 61c | 110.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Game Hunters | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd | 32c | 99.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Game Hunters | 35c | 93.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Keyd | 40c | 93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Game Hunters | 65c | 90.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Keyd | 26c | 83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Keyd | 28c | 74.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Game Hunters | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Keyd | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Keyd | 40c | 58.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Game Hunters | 57c | 57.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 335 | 57.3%192 W · 143 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Keyd | 38c | 53.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Game Hunters | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed Keyd | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Game Hunters | 66c | 48.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Game Hunters | 60c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Keyd | 39c | 41.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Game Hunters | 50c | 40.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Keyd | 39c | 37.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 431 | 55.9%241 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Keyd | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Game Hunters | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 503 | 49.3%248 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Keyd | 40c | 28.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Game Hunters | 75c | 28.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…3474backed Game Hunters | 71c | 27.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Game Hunters | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Game Hunters | 69c | 24.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed Game Hunters | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Keyd | 48c | 21.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Keyd | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…206ebacked Game Hunters | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Game Hunters | 80c | 16.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Game Hunters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Game Hunters - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5)Game Hunters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.