Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6736f5a5e330f648f1238f83cfbe691d1d3562949020d3add7d006f7e8d0515a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 4c | 4,746$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 14c | 2,366$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.03 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 1,031$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.92 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 2c | 755.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 28c | 691$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 72c | 634.33$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.61 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 29c | 386.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 15c | 288.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.86 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 286$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.94 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 14c | 251.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.96 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 240$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 74c | 161.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 17c | 144.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes | 14c | 118.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Yes | 13c | 107.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 51c | 105.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 15c | 104.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 20c | 95.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 21c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 21c | 65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 22c | 59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 61c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 29c | 50.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 47.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 28c | 44.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 78c | 21.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will CD Nacional vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Nacional win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.