Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x675fa7df772487fed84f3f7257e9fe73faf1dc68234dc45a2f04d58e9c46b299
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa State Cyclonesof Iowa State Cyclones, Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,396 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 3,533$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.32 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 1,875$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.67 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 45c | 1,808$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Iowa State Cyclones | 56c | 1,730$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.7 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 1,524$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.83 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Iowa State Cyclones | 57c | 1,311$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.05 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 878.86$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.64 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 815.54$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.16 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 44c | 619.37$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.4 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 558.74$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.35 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 437.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 405.24$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.12 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 46c | 391.71$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.55 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 51c | 388.73$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.48 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 342.29$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.88 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 313.66$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.58 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Iowa State Cyclones | 51c | 294.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.53 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 228.2$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 228$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 216.48$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 9c | 200.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 45c | 199.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 182.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 44c | 166.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 162.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 125.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…648fbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 57c | 80.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Iowa State Cyclones | 52c | 78.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 45c | 58.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 48.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 45c | 47.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 44.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 44.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Iowa State Cyclones | 51c | 40.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…010abacked Iowa State Cyclones | 51c | 40.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Iowa State Cyclones | 56c | 39.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 38.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 34.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Iowa State Cyclones | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 44c | 28.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…cdf8backed Iowa State Cyclones | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 25.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-5.5)this page
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersIowa State Cyclones won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-6.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.