Asian League · resolved market
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67846abe26b98daebfa3969052e55f61073e1bacda2dbca5903852b8bc7417bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 64c | 23,429$15,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,408.32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 36c | 20,285$7,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,223.18 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 7,718$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.49 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Under | 65c | 1,558$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.66 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 24c | 1,249$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.71 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 19c | 514.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under | 60c | 500.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Under | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 477.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…7b8fbacked Over | 19c | 400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 34c | 312.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 34c | 220.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Under | 61c | 164.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 27c | 160.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 74c | 145.09$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked Under | 69c | 144.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 25c | 129.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…2f7dbacked Under | 78c | 126.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 14c | 125$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 36c | 99.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 41c | 98.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 97.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 65c | 94.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 32c | 70.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 15c | 68.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x706a…4b9fbacked Over | 20c | 57.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 35c | 56.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7185…751dbacked Over | 34c | 52.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 31c | 51.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 49c | 50.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…69e3backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…3753backed Over | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…7a49backed Over | 37c | 40.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 35c | 38.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Over | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…be67backed Over | 34c | 31.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 65c | 27.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…0355backed Over | 40c | 26.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Over | 54c | 18.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Under | 78c | 17.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.