Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Xiaoyin Yang vs Evan Zhu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6863b947d79db9517e29d5fdfc872892899d02f288dccd1764e48c86b69b355b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evan Zhuof Xiaoyin Yang, Evan Zhu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Evan Zhu | 59c | 3,087$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.43 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Xiaoyin Yang | 42c | 1,284$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.68 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Evan Zhu | 79c | 1,100$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Evan Zhu | 50c | 866.72$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.36 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Xiaoyin Yang | 45c | 837.68$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.52 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Xiaoyin Yang | 41c | 733.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…6afdbacked Xiaoyin Yang | 21c | 584.75$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Xiaoyin Yang | 39c | 569.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.54 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xiaoyin Yang | 50c | 561.04$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.52 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Xiaoyin Yang | 21c | 446$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Xiaoyin Yang | 20c | 344.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Evan Zhu | 65c | 270$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Evan Zhu | 60c | 260.4$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Evan Zhu | 79c | 228$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Evan Zhu | 80c | 225$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Xiaoyin Yang | 24c | 212.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Xiaoyin Yang | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Evan Zhu | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Xiaoyin Yang | 21c | 128.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Xiaoyin Yang | 39c | 121.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Xiaoyin Yang | 50c | 117.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Xiaoyin Yang | 17c | 100.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab11…0026backed Evan Zhu | 57c | 97.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Xiaoyin Yang | 53c | 97.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Evan Zhu | 44c | 93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Xiaoyin Yang | 43c | 91.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Xiaoyin Yang | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Evan Zhu | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Xiaoyin Yang | 41c | 48.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Evan Zhu | 67c | 44.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Evan Zhu | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Evan Zhu | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.