TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Tennessee State Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tennessee State Tigersof UT Martin Skyhawks, Tennessee State Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,505 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5520…32ffbacked UT Martin Skyhawks2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UT Martin Skyhawks41c1,732$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.415,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Tennessee State Tigers64c1,451$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.517758.4%45 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee State Tigers56c871.06$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.4412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UT Martin Skyhawks56c822.01$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.173,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Tennessee State Tigers42c737.27$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.253,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked UT Martin Skyhawks44c699.51$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.529444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tennessee State Tigers42c422$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.661,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed UT Martin Skyhawks9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tennessee State Tigers47c304.51$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.942,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…04f6backed UT Martin Skyhawks44c256.82$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1134942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked UT Martin Skyhawks9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183511.4%4 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed UT Martin Skyhawks37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75f1…907dbacked UT Martin Skyhawks40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Tennessee State Tigers53c78.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.982,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UT Martin Skyhawks37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed UT Martin Skyhawks37c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5473549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tennessee State Tigers56c35.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.471,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Tennessee State Tigers60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Tennessee State Tigers60c22.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.91,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.