Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68858e69dd948557f6dc011569fce8d2ad843b11d5be461fb10b6227ca4d007b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 35c | 4,286$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.71 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 1,528$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.71 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Under | 80c | 875$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 71cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 65c | 287$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.55 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 65c | 240.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 115$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 65.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 55.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 37.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 34c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…1422backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 29.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 64c | 24.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: AZ O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)AZ won
- Spread: AZ (-2.5)AZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.