Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x689a8cc70982d34038346af7fc9b5f83c0511f2f0d4b3e64ae3ecc23edf358c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 43c | 9,345$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 4,936$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 4,094$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 54c | 2,651$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.67 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 46c | 2,065$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.5 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 1,131$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.17 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 58c | 963.79$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 77c | 820$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.19 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 776.74$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.23 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 53c | 601.88$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed Yes | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 56c | 470.59$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 31c | 424.21$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.51 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 59c | 405.46$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.77 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 53c | 381$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.93 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…8a63backed Yes | 42c | 355.05$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 339.9$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.72 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 76c | 323$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 25c | 321.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 47c | 318.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 54c | 229.82$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed No | 45c | 198.28$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df1…f72abacked Yes | 54c | 185.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 54c | 176$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed No | 60c | 162.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 31c | 110.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 26c | 103.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 49c | 95.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 75c | 86.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc738…25a4backed Yes | 37c | 82.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 54c | 74.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked No | 67c | 74.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 69c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 65.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 47c | 60.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 58.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 52.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 53c | 45.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 45c | 36.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +239.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…0c58backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 63c | 21.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed No | 57c | 21.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fa…38a0backed Yes | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…e1aabacked Yes | 77c | 13.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will Vitória SC vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.