TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-Zero Tenacityof ex-Zero Tenacity, ex-RUSTEC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,926
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,926 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity74c3,576$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9463057.1%360 W · 270 L+40.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27e4…4803backed ex-RUSTEC46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.993754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed ex-RUSTEC52c1,427$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.711,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f3…5402backed ex-Zero Tenacity43c1,281$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.492650%13 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity34c1,055$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.745,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed ex-Zero Tenacity52c718.98$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.1119849.5%98 W · 100 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed ex-Zero Tenacity62c525.56$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.6351842.3%219 W · 299 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUSTEC12c504.27$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.933,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked ex-RUSTEC32c485.18$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0915349.7%76 W · 77 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUSTEC57c468.47$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.773,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUSTEC54c442.01$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.872,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed ex-RUSTEC21c420.65$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9026624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8c7…4332backed ex-RUSTEC57c327.16$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.117644.3%78 W · 98 L-17.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed ex-Zero Tenacity39c230.95$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8849841.8%208 W · 290 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed ex-RUSTEC58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165463%34 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed ex-RUSTEC32c200$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6514650.7%74 W · 72 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC24c184.87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.024,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x275a…1ac4backed ex-RUSTEC31c182.45$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity44c180$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.88243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked ex-RUSTEC56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed ex-RUSTEC61c132.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.951,06242.2%448 W · 614 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed ex-RUSTEC37c130$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2628743.2%124 W · 163 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ex-RUSTEC36c124$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc34…0953backed ex-RUSTEC58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed ex-Zero Tenacity42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589340.9%38 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb299…e70abacked ex-Zero Tenacity35c99.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked ex-RUSTEC52c95.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9113836.2%50 W · 88 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC46c94.88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.642,08447%979 W · 1,105 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb84…59d2backed ex-RUSTEC66c79.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.154077.5%31 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity76c77.96$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7158345.3%264 W · 319 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUSTEC23c74.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.842,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUSTEC40c57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.693,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ee…a0bbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity45c53.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.694459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed ex-Zero Tenacity48c53.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.611656%65 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa4…1211backed ex-RUSTEC58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303751.4%19 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1342…c430backed ex-RUSTEC41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked ex-RUSTEC68c49.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.698048.8%39 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity60c43.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3350358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7655…f0b2backed ex-RUSTEC71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity52c42.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.071,03454.9%568 W · 466 L-2.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed ex-Zero Tenacity66c37.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.863455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a9b…9ddebacked ex-Zero Tenacity60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-RUSTEC63c33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.851,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed ex-RUSTEC33c32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.469954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity63c29.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.962,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed ex-Zero Tenacity50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8918535.1%65 W · 120 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94e8…f707backed ex-RUSTEC48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128453.6%45 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af6…ffdbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity48c24.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.651145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0868…efe8backed ex-Zero Tenacity64c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.927837.2%29 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x382c…2261backed ex-Zero Tenacity59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.25862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity55c19.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.715,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5275…9379backed ex-Zero Tenacity64c18.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.835653.6%30 W · 26 L+8.2wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+52.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.