Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Arizona Wildcats (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68c5a22c8de2402f6e6d1a313280f09c205f535bac14431c52dde08f36a82e36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Buffaloesof Colorado Buffaloes, Arizona Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Arizona Wildcats | 20c | 3,180$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.98 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Colorado Buffaloes | 75c | 1,605$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.07 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Colorado Buffaloes | 80c | 1,191$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.2 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Colorado Buffaloes | 80c | 1,088$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Arizona Wildcats | 15c | 706$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Arizona Wildcats | 34c | 671.8$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.37 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Colorado Buffaloes | 79c | 177.37$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Colorado Buffaloes | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Arizona Wildcats | 21c | 149$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Arizona Wildcats | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…6c2dbacked Arizona Wildcats | 53c | 97.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 78c | 76.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Arizona Wildcats | 26c | 57.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arizona Wildcats | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Colorado Buffaloes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…55b1backed Colorado Buffaloes | 66c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.