TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UT Martin Skyhawks vs. SIUE Cougars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UT Martin Skyhawksof UT Martin Skyhawks, SIUE Cougars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed SIUE Cougars14c944.1$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.71,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked SIUE Cougars20c740.31$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.34,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked UT Martin Skyhawks62c522.61$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.9715356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UT Martin Skyhawks36c512.01$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.015,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed SIUE Cougars14c500.02$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.332,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked SIUE Cougars50c495.26$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UT Martin Skyhawks75c433.68$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.063,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked SIUE Cougars49c413.69$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.637441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked SIUE Cougars14c377.27$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.821,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked UT Martin Skyhawks23c304.35$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.351,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed UT Martin Skyhawks52c276.27$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5537947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked SIUE Cougars48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed SIUE Cougars49c191.08$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed SIUE Cougars30c184.08$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6468254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UT Martin Skyhawks51c159.73$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.931,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed UT Martin Skyhawks54c135$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.411,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed UT Martin Skyhawks50c123$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed UT Martin Skyhawks52c115.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.771,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed SIUE Cougars46c106.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.525,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked SIUE Cougars49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed UT Martin Skyhawks14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.331,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed UT Martin Skyhawks51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4979448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed SIUE Cougars37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked UT Martin Skyhawks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UT Martin Skyhawks51c91.53$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.972,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked SIUE Cougars78c80$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.21,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed UT Martin Skyhawks62c77.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.444146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SIUE Cougars20c52.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.431,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked SIUE Cougars54c52.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed UT Martin Skyhawks25c51.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.691,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed SIUE Cougars23c50.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.571,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked SIUE Cougars48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked UT Martin Skyhawks52c48.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1139050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed SIUE Cougars31c46.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed UT Martin Skyhawks68c41.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.532,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed SIUE Cougars36c32.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed SIUE Cougars49c31.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6393247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed UT Martin Skyhawks54c31.21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3623363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed UT Martin Skyhawks52c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8816140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.