TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Guara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Guara Esportsof MIBR fe, Guara Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda1a…3407backed Guara Esports65c9,398$6,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,280.5328960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MIBR fe24c7,098$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.35,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Guara Esports76c6,683$5,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.325532.7%18 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MIBR fe27c6,269$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.152,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR fe38c4,158$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.067,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Guara Esports75c2,560$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.2213760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR fe37c2,356$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.865,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed MIBR fe23c1,633$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.032,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Guara Esports62c1,348$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.8945465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MIBR fe16c1,105$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.745,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MIBR fe26c1,044$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.464,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Guara Esports66c934.06$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.2764058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked MIBR fe30c598.55$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.131,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Guara Esports73c510.97$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9611151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Guara Esports74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13018543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Guara Esports76c445$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1557641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Guara Esports73c427$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.022462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked MIBR fe26c381.29$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7250358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Guara Esports74c368.43$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.411140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x803f…b6b3backed MIBR fe27c364.62$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.837436.5%27 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x045a…b9a4backed Guara Esports76c362$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.133441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa162…479dbacked Guara Esports78c343.6$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.593145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Guara Esports76c333$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9215756.1%88 W · 69 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed MIBR fe37c332.61$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3972139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Guara Esports78c317.91$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9315743.9%69 W · 88 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Guara Esports73c291.26$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.936,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed MIBR fe19c269.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.31,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Guara Esports74c263.72$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5720952.6%110 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Guara Esports61c241.81$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.834,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9535…ccdcbacked MIBR fe42c237.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf63…d3a4backed Guara Esports73c237$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.43742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b50…1db2backed Guara Esports77c222.77$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.445950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed MIBR fe23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked MIBR fe37c202.18$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8115441.6%64 W · 90 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Guara Esports76c197.54$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.548253.7%44 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Guara Esports75c181.09$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.331,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2c2…be71backed MIBR fe29c169.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502425%6 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed MIBR fe59c169$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.255653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd1…f05abacked MIBR fe62c160.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+60.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50dc…b61abacked MIBR fe15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237229.2%21 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed Guara Esports75c149$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2512252.5%64 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Guara Esports76c145.18$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1135947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4bf…4c01backed MIBR fe76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed MIBR fe79c119.41$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.331,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked MIBR fe23c102.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.541,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Guara Esports74c100.6$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2780740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed MIBR fe27c99.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2740155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Guara Esports71c99.57$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.774,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x080f…fcc2backed Guara Esports75c97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.258250%41 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MIBR fe34c83.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.24,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa03c…f557backed Guara Esports62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.657251.4%37 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cee…bd00backed Guara Esports80c80$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed MIBR fe24c74.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.141,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed MIBR fe25c72.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9837855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Guara Esports74c70.12$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3489248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed MIBR fe25c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed MIBR fe25c67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7574054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Guara Esports77c65.71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1116754.5%91 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d6…9523backed MIBR fe22c63.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed MIBR fe38c63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.941,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Guara Esports40c62.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4923150.6%117 W · 114 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed MIBR fe38c60.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976e…2d2ebacked MIBR fe24c60.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.47425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3287…8f16backed MIBR fe29c55.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb49f…0989backed MIBR fe28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+121.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1040…16cbbacked MIBR fe27c52.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62a…76b5backed MIBR fe32c50.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616048.8%78 W · 82 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed MIBR fe22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Guara Esports55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.454052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2801…ebdcbacked MIBR fe28c44.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.383240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Guara Esports78c44.17$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8299148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Guara Esports72c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4842427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Guara Esports31c36.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.362642.3%11 W · 15 L+7.0wins+0.27per pick15cpaid+98.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8238…ededbacked Guara Esports73c32.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507c…6c0cbacked Guara Esports79c31.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.664355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…58c4backed Guara Esports59c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7111768.4%80 W · 37 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe275…2450backed Guara Esports64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.958235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc435…e961backed MIBR fe37c29.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119248.9%45 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed MIBR fe40c27.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0779951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e59…cc2ebacked Guara Esports74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+324.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Guara Esports75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.675863.8%37 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed Guara Esports75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6741147.7%196 W · 215 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Guara Esports64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Guara Esports73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1360451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Guara Esports64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.639862.2%61 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Guara Esports75c13.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4621949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dee…4626backed Guara Esports80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.56631.8%21 W · 45 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.