TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3287…8f16

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$22.97
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs roamsfiest (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffsbacked roamsfiest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+163.8%+$21.74
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Guara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked MIBR fe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.67
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.69
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.35
Counter-Strike: FC Famalicão Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group Cbacked FC Famalicão Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$21.49
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.26
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.64
Counter-Strike: Young TigeRES vs Vexar (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffsbacked Young TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.26
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Young TigeRES (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.59
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Players (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.03
Counter-Strike: Persona Grata vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$5.98
All 21 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$9.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$16.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.