NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6921c3ca42d7d9e53354b3b57539945954a84f9f9783c2bccba6f530c7bea9c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Canadiens | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Canadiens | 34c | 2,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.93 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Stars | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.88 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 33c | 2,071$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.28 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars | 65c | 1,469$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.25 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Stars | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Stars | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Canadiens | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b8b4backed Stars | 44c | 908.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Stars | 66c | 802$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.32 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Stars | 10c | 522.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars | 68c | 508.82$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 68c | 499.99$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.99 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Stars | 66c | 392.94$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.34 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Canadiens | 32c | 373.05$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.67 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canadiens | 56c | 371$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.29 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…3c23backed Stars | 63c | 332.34$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Canadiens | 33c | 307.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.67 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 73c | 303.11$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.27 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Stars | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 66c | 298.02$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.69 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Canadiens | 44c | 275$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…82b5backed Stars | 62c | 245.45$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Stars | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…8bb6backed Stars | 63c | 183.32$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Canadiens | 34c | 157$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Stars | 68c | 147.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Canadiens | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Canadiens | 32c | 144.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…5ef7backed Canadiens | 34c | 140.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22d…e35dbacked Stars | 67c | 117.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Canadiens | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…3c9cbacked Stars | 14c | 113.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…d0d5backed Stars | 62c | 110.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Canadiens | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Stars | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Canadiens | 41c | 98.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…73cbbacked Stars | 67c | 81.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6554…702fbacked Canadiens | 34c | 80.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Canadiens | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Canadiens | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…9589backed Stars | 67c | 71.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b8…5186backed Stars | 67c | 67.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4a…3747backed Canadiens | 34c | 66.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…d04ebacked Stars | 67c | 65.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…4ca7backed Stars | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Canadiens | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c5…e14bbacked Canadiens | 29c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…cc4ebacked Stars | 69c | 59.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…fe47backed Canadiens | 33c | 48.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…7560backed Canadiens | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Canadiens | 43c | 46.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…b78abacked Canadiens | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc517…05d4backed Canadiens | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…9f73backed Stars | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Canadiens | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bc…5053backed Canadiens | 33c | 34.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…12fbbacked Canadiens | 32c | 34.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9071…e8cdbacked Canadiens | 32c | 33.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…7223backed Canadiens | 32c | 33.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3799…3f44backed Stars | 69c | 32.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…e734backed Stars | 67c | 32.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…6363backed Canadiens | 32c | 32.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2770…54f3backed Stars | 67c | 31.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e8…547ebacked Canadiens | 33c | 31.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Stars | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…0b2dbacked Stars | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Stars | 68c | 29.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…13b0backed Stars | 68c | 28.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Stars | 67c | 26.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd7…f3cdbacked Stars | 67c | 26.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44bb…5bc9backed Stars | 69c | 24.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…ad7cbacked Stars | 67c | 24.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…293abacked Stars | 69c | 23.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…5a9ebacked Stars | 68c | 22.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f9…5d32backed Stars | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…f59fbacked Stars | 68c | 20.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…b2f8backed Stars | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…537dbacked Stars | 68c | 19.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe570…8b40backed Stars | 69c | 19.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…8cfabacked Stars | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32c4…8fc3backed Stars | 67c | 18.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…bea8backed Stars | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…b1c9backed Stars | 68c | 16.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…33a2backed Stars | 68c | 16.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2f…cf3dbacked Stars | 68c | 16.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…1291backed Stars | 69c | 15.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df9…a104backed Stars | 69c | 15.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d58…5faebacked Stars | 67c | 15.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.