Euroleague · resolved market
Saski Baskonia vs. Fenerbahce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x692c5c2a72e408c4abe204691c7c6faada658e6572fb214b74477464f824fa21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fenerbahceof Saski Baskonia, Fenerbahce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Saski Baskonia | 45c | 4,073$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fenerbahce | 55c | 2,673$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Saski Baskonia | 42c | 2,487$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Fenerbahce | 44c | 2,412$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.01 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fenerbahce | 67c | 2,325$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.15 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Saski Baskonia | 49c | 2,277$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.84 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Fenerbahce | 55c | 1,832$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Fenerbahce | 59c | 1,696$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.53 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Fenerbahce | 56c | 1,592$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.01 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Fenerbahce | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Saski Baskonia | 44c | 1,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Saski Baskonia | 41c | 816.78$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.88 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Fenerbahce | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Saski Baskonia | 47c | 700$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.79 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Saski Baskonia | 79c | 606.68$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Saski Baskonia | 54c | 402.68$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.33 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saski Baskonia | 52c | 398$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Saski Baskonia | 41c | 359$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fenerbahce | 80c | 297.85$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…effbbacked Saski Baskonia | 43c | 289.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Saski Baskonia | 46c | 284.43$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Saski Baskonia | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Saski Baskonia | 50c | 239.4$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Fenerbahce | 56c | 231.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.78 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…0d0abacked Saski Baskonia | 47c | 213.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Saski Baskonia | 47c | 210.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Fenerbahce | 56c | 194.91$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Fenerbahce | 56c | 152.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Fenerbahce | 59c | 128.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fe…1c85backed Fenerbahce | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Fenerbahce | 45c | 110.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Fenerbahce | 58c | 103.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Fenerbahce | 57c | 101.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Saski Baskonia | 34c | 99.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Fenerbahce | 60c | 97.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…bfddbacked Fenerbahce | 56c | 76.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Fenerbahce | 55c | 75.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Fenerbahce | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2e…1695backed Fenerbahce | 49c | 65.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Fenerbahce | 65c | 63.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Saski Baskonia | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Saski Baskonia | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Fenerbahce | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Saski Baskonia | 42c | 48.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Fenerbahce | 39c | 47.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Fenerbahce | 57c | 45.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Saski Baskonia | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Saski Baskonia | 30c | 42.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…ba76backed Fenerbahce | 60c | 41.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Saski Baskonia | 43c | 41.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22f…7714backed Fenerbahce | 65c | 30.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Fenerbahce | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…28e0backed Fenerbahce | 62c | 17.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.