Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69319041756d36f00942147203438387829c41309ae5a9fb3dcd140c7621c976
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof GamerLegion, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d39…6053backed GamerLegion | 10c | 4,255$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.61 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked GamerLegion | 16c | 2,944$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.36 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37c…ef29backed Team Falcons | 79c | 2,507$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 6c | 2,276$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked GamerLegion | 23c | 1,145$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Falcons | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed GamerLegion | 12c | 793.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Falcons | 67c | 499.96$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcd…0e6fbacked GamerLegion | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed GamerLegion | 12c | 382.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Falcons | 75c | 377.37$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 358.98$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed GamerLegion | 20c | 349.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…cb74backed GamerLegion | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed GamerLegion | 13c | 260$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Falcons | 74c | 209.46$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed GamerLegion | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…2fe1backed GamerLegion | 24c | 168.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed GamerLegion | 22c | 155.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Falcons | 77c | 144.93$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GamerLegion | 34c | 131.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 131.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Team Falcons | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked GamerLegion | 24c | 126.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked GamerLegion | 11c | 108$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed GamerLegion | 34c | 104$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21de…4608backed GamerLegion | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed GamerLegion | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 66.2%96 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked GamerLegion | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Falcons | 77c | 45.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…12eabacked GamerLegion | 26c | 45.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf76e…3650backed Team Falcons | 73c | 34.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…9d50backed Team Falcons | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…1284backed Team Falcons | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…7de7backed Team Falcons | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons | 75c | 16.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Team Falcons | 77c | 15.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Athis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.