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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Vexa (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vexaof paiN Academy, Vexa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked paiN Academy0c65,407$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.232,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed paiN Academy1c3,915$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0739946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vexa47c3,379$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.255,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked paiN Academy53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.975532.7%18 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN Academy45c1,392$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.285,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked paiN Academy53c1,179$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.6255843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Vexa47c722.17$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.692,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed paiN Academy24c614.81$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.421,04153.1%553 W · 488 L+63.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Vexa30c510$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.492,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked paiN Academy55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.998324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf5ec…23bdbacked paiN Academy78c460$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.94955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01f…e8fbbacked Vexa22c460$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.78230.5%25 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Vexa48c415$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2155,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Vexa56c414.38$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.334,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Academy49c379.08$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.096,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Vexa45c290.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.372,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb600…4440backed Vexa43c228$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.1616546.1%76 W · 89 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb66…c8dfbacked paiN Academy53c225$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.258645.3%39 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+38.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Vexa57c204.58$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.735,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…b9bfbacked Vexa50c201.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.592360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed paiN Academy53c189$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5482142.5%349 W · 472 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbea…5b1abacked paiN Academy56c185.64$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked paiN Academy54c174.52$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.242,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Vexa63c170.94$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.27,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Vexa51c163.68$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.654,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed paiN Academy53c153.04$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3448939.7%194 W · 295 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4bf…4c01backed Vexa51c152.19$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.431030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed paiN Academy20c149$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6189630.7%275 W · 621 L-64.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Academy39c133.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.164,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Vexa46c128.34$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9922150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vexa50c123.37$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.95,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed paiN Academy51c114.16$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.11,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed paiN Academy52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5232844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked paiN Academy52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5226246.9%123 W · 139 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed paiN Academy49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4939540.3%159 W · 236 L+29.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Vexa46c92.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2274754.6%408 W · 339 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Vexa53c82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.929441.5%39 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbd0…4303backed Vexa26c77.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7210739.3%42 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked paiN Academy55c76.36$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed Vexa45c76.36$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4223335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Vexa48c75.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.091,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked paiN Academy59c73.11$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.072,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Vexa80c73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.68988.8%79 W · 10 L+10.3wins+0.12per pick77cpaid+14.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked paiN Academy54c71.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.83444.1%15 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked paiN Academy52c67.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3554348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN Academy73c66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.333,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed Vexa79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2922557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d6…9523backed Vexa48c60.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.423154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed paiN Academy53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.518233%60 W · 122 L-22.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9451…c12fbacked Vexa63c48.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.25952.5%31 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x202b…e209backed paiN Academy42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204564.4%29 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed paiN Academy52c47.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.91,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed paiN Academy53c47.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8780740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1040…16cbbacked paiN Academy54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed paiN Academy51c40.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6333241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked paiN Academy50c39.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9110545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40c6…5027backed Vexa51c38.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10fc…9f06backed paiN Academy63c36.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.693860.5%23 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed paiN Academy47c34.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.325442.1%107 W · 147 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4bf5…a298backed Vexa64c32.54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked paiN Academy74c29.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7613850%69 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed paiN Academy71c28.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8817257.6%99 W · 73 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Vexa47c26.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1437855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked paiN Academy54c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4219948.7%97 W · 102 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Vexa47c22.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.747445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6700…67c4backed Vexa49c21.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9515351.6%79 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97f1…1972backed paiN Academy53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.68343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked paiN Academy53c19.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.413855.3%21 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc62a…76b5backed paiN Academy80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016647.6%79 W · 87 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.