Australian A League · resolved market
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a10951e5b5dbf6862a7cca766061127fc04b8f14ed806c875d222de8ddd7bff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Over | 26c | 4,119$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 3,739$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.69 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 74c | 1,440$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.13 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 37c | 1,040$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.58 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 57c | 962$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 817.51$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.28 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 47c | 761.28$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 325.15$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.02 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Over | 55c | 217.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 71c | 169.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 53c | 169$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 127.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 36c | 109.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 36c | 83.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3472…3e12backed Over | 55c | 82.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 74c | 65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 28c | 60.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 36c | 53.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 41c | 48.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf8…e6a5backed Under | 67c | 42.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 50c | 41.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Under | 65c | 38.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 73c | 37.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Under | 78c | 27.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 66c | 22.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Under | 53c | 22.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 53c | 22.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked Under | 74c | 18.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.