Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Kenin (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a226f49863cefa663068b48567bafa8d4b567c7cdf03ce41fb14ec866124a27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jovicof Jovic, Kenin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kenin | 46c | 2,345$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.08 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Jovic | 55c | 2,299$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.05 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Jovic | 46c | 950.12$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.42 | 148 | 22.3%33 W · 115 L | -14.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kenin | 54c | 635.28$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.78 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…569ebacked Kenin | 77c | 571.8$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.29 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Jovic | 52c | 550.84$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.4 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Jovic | 51c | 548$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.84 | 273 | 31.5%86 W · 187 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Jovic | 53c | 493.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.17 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Kenin | 48c | 404.53$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.26 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kenin | 45c | 389.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jovic | 42c | 249.62$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.54 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb804…cd66backed Jovic | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 154 | 16.2%25 W · 129 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Jovic | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Jovic | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Kenin | 56c | 139.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…76f2backed Kenin | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Jovic | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Kenin | 58c | 66.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Kenin | 46c | 58.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kenin | 50c | 56.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kenin | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Kenin | 47c | 44.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Kenin | 47c | 37.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Kenin | 56c | 36.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Jovic | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 427 | 45.7%195 W · 232 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Kenin | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Kenin | 56c | 19.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed Kenin | 72c | 14.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Kenin (+1.5)this page
- Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Sofia KeninIva Jovic won
- Iva Jovic vs. Sofia Kenin: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Jovic vs. Kenin: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Jovic vs. Kenin: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs KeninJovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.