Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b6848c18342d25216892e7461316111af03e4841577d520b701a9faaf0ae614
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,937$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.57 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 42c | 999.96$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 44c | 817.17$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.46 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 53c | 527.26$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.26 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 51c | 405$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 49c | 378.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.17 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 334.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.89 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 314.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.34 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…3c2dbacked Over | 54c | 186.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 165.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 160.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 64c | 154.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 58c | 150.47$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 52c | 133.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 78c | 127.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 79c | 125.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 49c | 101$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd662…8815backed Over | 40c | 100.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 78c | 87.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 22c | 82.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 21c | 76.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 22c | 68.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 29c | 67.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 39c | 64.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 22c | 54.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under | 64c | 46.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 42c | 45.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 52c | 35.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 57c | 24.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 62c | 24.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Over | 59c | 23.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 64c | 16.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.