Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f1838612b5fbab90bf4d4b9be321186fa14784b9f7d8d262231171a42e629e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 2,712$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.42 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 25c | 1,738$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.48 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 29c | 1,161$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.7 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 740.3$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.18 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…78ffbacked Under | 79c | 700.45$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…fcfabacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 49c | 575$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…c4a1backed Under | 45c | 529.82$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 45c | 430.27$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.65 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 56c | 373.71$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.48 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 48c | 344.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 40c | 299.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 272.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.33 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 257.62$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.27 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Over | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 23c | 209.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 24c | 201.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 165.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 151.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 56c | 148.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 53c | 146.45$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 139.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 46c | 109.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 55c | 102.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 55c | 92.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 56c | 85.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 56c | 85.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Under | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 45c | 61.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 49c | 61.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 54c | 58.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 55c | 46.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 36c | 41.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Over | 42c | 35.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 40c | 33.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Under | 78c | 28.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…3f3fbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 78c | 24.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 75c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…7855backed Over | 55c | 20.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.