South American Leagues · resolved market
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b835c63a43dad721ebc12754d7b60204162c37c49aa9839bc228cf36fac126b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 8,064$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.6 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 2,966$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 2,744$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 52c | 1,974$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.27 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 1,258$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.63 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60be…9e6dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,001$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 30c | 600$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 69c | 561.47$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Yes | 30c | 500$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 63c | 410.73$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 63c | 289.73$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…1e9ebacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 50c | 229$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 36c | 196.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 62c | 183.24$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 163.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 42c | 145.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 70c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 118.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 51c | 118.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe050…af1cbacked No | 52c | 112.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 34c | 92.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 57c | 87.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 51c | 78.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 39c | 75.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 30c | 62.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…2832backed Yes | 27c | 62.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 22c | 62.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 71c | 61.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 31c | 54.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa375…0374backed Yes | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 29c | 36.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac18…6f88backed Yes | 33c | 30.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…8b55backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…4c1dbacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 58c | 19.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…a395backed Yes | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Yes | 71c | 14.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.