South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6baef589239d6f3714b5e8e980dee2b50911de8ca6f519736df7040c9e4732db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 735.62$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 22c | 710.66$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.54 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 59c | 528.25$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.02 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 9c | 459.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 217.87$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 9c | 214$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 8c | 173.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 69c | 166.46$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.86 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 134.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 37c | 119.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 94.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 25c | 80.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…d890backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 21cpaid | +235.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 29c | 74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 24c | 72.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 21c | 68.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 27c | 66.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 31c | 62.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 54.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 52.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 79c | 52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a8f9backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 70c | 48.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 57c | 48.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 70c | 47.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 68c | 41.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Yes | 46c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 61c | 21.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-06?No won
- Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.