South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1b5b29ed69618b15f2c5fee5fc8f9713b2c2d59deb481e8531e61bf502c4113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 39c | 2,889$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.31 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 2,852$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.37 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 2,020$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.98 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 12c | 2,014$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.68 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 34c | 1,800$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 57c | 1,560$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.84 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,406$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…f009backed No | 43c | 1,147$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 36c | 1,093$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.21 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 67c | 821.57$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.12 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 621.87$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed Yes | 31c | 612.68$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.93 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Yes | 61c | 505.44$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 66c | 495.67$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.53 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 20c | 411.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.11 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 399.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.25 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 32c | 390$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 32c | 358.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 14c | 300$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 32c | 273.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 14c | 251.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.08 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 9c | 176.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.9 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 8c | 163.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 62c | 160.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 73c | 152$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 34c | 114.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 29c | 104.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 103.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 102.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 100.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 31c | 99.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 33c | 86.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 33c | 60.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 30c | 60.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3229…4299backed Yes | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 70c | 49.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed No | 68c | 43.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 57c | 41.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 66c | 38.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 67c | 35.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 75c | 33.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 34c | 31.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 68c | 28.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 61c | 25.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 63c | 20.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…f667backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 19.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 60c | 17.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes | 78c | 14.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-06?No won
- Will Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.