CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bd33b81aa465dde62317a40faa028335e88587cda38c11380c37a4e94a58529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, Tricked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed Walczaki | 76c | 2,933$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.99 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Tricked | 28c | 1,350$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.29 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Tricked | 40c | 1,105$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.98 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tricked | 25c | 873$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.61 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tricked | 36c | 812.11$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.36 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c8…0cecbacked Tricked | 32c | 800.35$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked | 18c | 797$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Tricked | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Walczaki | 64c | 403$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.08 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Walczaki | 64c | 334.47$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.42 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Walczaki | 77c | 318.61$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Tricked | 37c | 310$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Walczaki | 65c | 304$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Tricked | 24c | 289.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Tricked | 8c | 215.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Tricked | 36c | 207.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Walczaki | 78c | 201.26$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Walczaki | 67c | 132.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Tricked | 22c | 126.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Walczaki | 67c | 113.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Tricked | 35c | 79.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Tricked | 35c | 72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Tricked | 33c | 64.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Walczaki | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Walczaki | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…ebfdbacked Tricked | 44c | 41.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Walczaki | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Walczaki | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage PlayoffsWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.