CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31b286c5e6e2fa4c3c46f1f5406c10e49e7377cce74674039589abffae4cf189

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Walczakiof Walczaki, Tricked
Resolved: Apr 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $24,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,576 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x013d…0574backed Tricked	1c	1,327$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.27	62	0%0 W · 62 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed Walczaki	77c	1,036$802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.43	161	55.9%90 W · 71 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tricked	16c	900.44$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.69	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Tricked	23c	619.96$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.55	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b50…180ebacked Walczaki	56c	566.4$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.22	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Walczaki	52c	536.58$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.76	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Tricked	56c	528.01$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298	1,163	54.3%631 W · 532 L	-38.8wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Walczaki	53c	499.99$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	583	43.6%254 W · 329 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Tricked	47c	450.8$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.18	137	32.1%44 W · 93 L	-11.2wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Tricked	35c	450$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.55	89	53.9%48 W · 41 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Tricked	46c	433.82$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	132	34.8%46 W · 86 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Walczaki	48c	420.25$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.56	167	38.9%65 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Tricked	43c	391.97$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.55	124	49.2%61 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked	45c	391.31$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.25	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Walczaki	43c	371.59$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.8	332	37%123 W · 209 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Tricked	19c	361$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.73	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Walczaki	56c	356.42$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.22	212	47.6%101 W · 111 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Walczaki	56c	354.39$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.39	474	47.5%225 W · 249 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Tricked	44c	315$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.6	573	58.8%337 W · 236 L	+16.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Tricked	18c	299.8$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.33	1,547	33.9%524 W · 1,023 L	-73.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Tricked	50c	282.78$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	485	62.7%304 W · 181 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Walczaki	53c	270$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.8	263	41.1%108 W · 155 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Walczaki	49c	225.08$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.79	116	33.6%39 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked Tricked	51c	213.08$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.5	162	36.4%59 W · 103 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Tricked	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	300	31.7%95 W · 205 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Tricked	18c	199.97$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.22	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-17.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Tricked	14c	180.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.08	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked Tricked	11c	172.14$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	189	33.9%64 W · 125 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed Walczaki	48c	123.71$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.71	411	47.7%196 W · 215 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Tricked	21c	119.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	116	38.8%45 W · 71 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Tricked	20c	113.31$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.15	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Tricked	44c	110.01$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.4	1,038	39.9%414 W · 624 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3237…571ebacked Tricked	14c	108.44$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5206…0f4cbacked Walczaki	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	265	35.5%94 W · 171 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Walczaki	47c	99.99$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Tricked	53c	90.28$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.75	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Walczaki	49c	90$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.9	789	63.8%503 W · 286 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e6f…3231backed Walczaki	72c	83.51$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.51	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Walczaki	57c	70.91$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.64	762	48.4%369 W · 393 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Tricked	37c	65$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	260	46.2%120 W · 140 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Tricked	54c	64.75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.82	780	43.7%341 W · 439 L	-21.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb701…a9e1backed Walczaki	74c	55.62$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.69	52	65.4%34 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb45…0c68backed Walczaki	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Walczaki	52c	51.67$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.67	446	54.9%245 W · 201 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Tricked	25c	51.1$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	406	52.2%212 W · 194 L	+22.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2df…2368backed Tricked	56c	44.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcf4…a399backed Walczaki	63c	41.37$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.37	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Tricked	57c	40$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed Tricked	54c	39.71$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.39	339	50.7%172 W · 167 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd31c…7d87backed Tricked	54c	36.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+4.1wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Tricked	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	91	41.8%38 W · 53 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Tricked	50c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	456	45.2%206 W · 250 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Tricked	51c	29.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.92	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Tricked	51c	29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed Tricked	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Tricked	49c	26.53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	179	30.2%54 W · 125 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-21%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Walczaki	57c	26.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Walczaki	49c	22.88$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.74	1,620	52.7%853 W · 767 L	+57.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8487…c1dbbacked Walczaki	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	480	52.3%251 W · 229 L	-20.9wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b3…cbe0backed Walczaki	63c	19.05$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.05	36	80.6%29 W · 7 L	+6.3wins	+0.18per pick	63cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event