Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bf6cfdb1fd2fd42962c86e9117865462ad358535d36cd047edb33fd57da94b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba3a…e041backed No | 73c | 3,000$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.91 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4e…14cfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,293$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.16 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +357.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 2c | 800$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.6 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 65c | 182.02$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 75c | 166.16$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 54c | 151.36$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked No | 58c | 146.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 73c | 138.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 22c | 137.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 45c | 135.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 34c | 124.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 47c | 111.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 46c | 110.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 76c | 105.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 74c | 104.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 77c | 93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…7429backed Yes | 37c | 69.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 64.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 56c | 64.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 29c | 61.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 68c | 61.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…d110backed Yes | 26c | 58.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 46c | 57.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed No | 67c | 56.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 56.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…6be9backed No | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…db37backed No | 55c | 48.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2401…0753backed No | 55c | 45.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…76c2backed No | 60c | 40.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b0…1402backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 163 | 39.9%65 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 36c | 38.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 42c | 36.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 55c | 34.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 55c | 28.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fc…0855backed Yes | 45c | 26.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e3…3dfdbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 78.4%116 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63bd…aff2backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 62c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…c061backed No | 57c | 24.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 63c | 24.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 63c | 23.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.