Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x083eae67390147001d63a6aa9f00fa36c53f2d5078924fd2fe884c100e15fc3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b0a…4d57backed No | 79c | 1,747$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…e041backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 70c | 515.26$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.31 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 25c | 183.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.3 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 16c | 157.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 23c | 153$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 8c | 143$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 34c | 141.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 42c | 123.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 29c | 119.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 68c | 104.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 31c | 101.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…bdedbacked No | 16c | 97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 64c | 96.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 31c | 95.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 31c | 91.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 69c | 74.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 70.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…7429backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 32c | 68.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 37c | 63.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked Yes | 48c | 56.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 58c | 55.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…50b1backed No | 68c | 54.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 129 | 72.1%93 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 43c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 57c | 43.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 60c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 64c | 38.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…36b9backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 34.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 68c | 33.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…ad3fbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 59c | 29.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 67c | 25.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 43c | 25.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 60c | 25.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…c50bbacked No | 56c | 25.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…5630backed Yes | 67c | 23.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed No | 62c | 22.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…86b1backed Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7afe…8f39backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 61c | 19.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 4?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.