Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Fery vs Kovacevic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c0f7b5bd51d9de14e4564614150d4a8a95af4b195cc7170cf78a3f57f9b6674
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feryof Fery, Kovacevic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Fery | 50c | 999.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.93 | 371 | 53.6%199 W · 172 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Kovacevic | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Kovacevic | 50c | 224.26$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 1,789 | 48.7%872 W · 917 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kovacevic | 44c | 130.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Kovacevic | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Kovacevic | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,039 | 49.9%518 W · 521 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Kovacevic | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,001 | 55.3%554 W · 447 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Kovacevic | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 564 | 56.9%321 W · 243 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…946bbacked Kovacevic | 56c | 46.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28fd…bee1backed Fery | 60c | 46.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Kovacevic | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13da…730cbacked Fery | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…20f5backed Fery | 53c | 27.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Kovacevic | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Fery vs Kovacevicthis page
- Fery vs. Kovacevic: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Fery vs. Kovacevic: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Game Spread: Fery (-1.5) vs Kovacevic (+1.5)Fery won
- Set 1 Winner: Fery vs KovacevicKovacevic won
- Set Handicap: Fery (-1.5) vs Kovacevic (+1.5)Kovacevic won
- Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar KovacevicArthur Fery won
- Winston-Salem Open: Completed Match: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar KovacevicYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.