Europa Conference League · resolved market
KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c8b559c5567728f64959020b00918b548df95155e4c9712341b9fb9bf2c9924
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hibernian FCof KF Shkëndija 79, Hibernian FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 28c | 832.44$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.08 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Hibernian FC | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Hibernian FC | 72c | 276$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 29c | 207$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 28c | 137$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Hibernian FC | 72c | 99.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 12c | 85.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 28c | 73.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Hibernian FC | 72c | 67.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Hibernian FC | 70c | 41.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Hibernian FC | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: Team to Advancethis page
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.