Europa Conference League · resolved market
KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18ed6407725d88cf654a32ec73fde5514297605338a32ebb96141f6cc342f4fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 48c | 2,705$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.61 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 34c | 1,210$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.52 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 47c | 879.55$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.82 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 615.57$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.1 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 546.56$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.51 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 46c | 403.7$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 53c | 338.5$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.15 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 56c | 331$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.81 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 53c | 296$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 268.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 45c | 201$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 45c | 159.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 149.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 54c | 76.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 53c | 63.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Over | 20c | 50.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 52c | 48.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 40.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 77c | 18.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5this page
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: Team to AdvanceHibernian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.