Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs AGELITE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cc35ae461cd020e9b6c42be47703c60ff883ba46e402c67ae86b00b7407715a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crest Gaming Zstof Crest Gaming Zst, AGELITE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2775…3652backed AGELITE | 28c | 3,031$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.37 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed AGELITE | 24c | 971.11$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.31 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Crest Gaming Zst | 79c | 791.2$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.55 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Crest Gaming Zst | 69c | 507.11$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.02 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Crest Gaming Zst | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed AGELITE | 24c | 492.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Crest Gaming Zst | 52c | 463.23$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.29 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked AGELITE | 19c | 462.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Crest Gaming Zst | 74c | 398.52$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked AGELITE | 24c | 387.68$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 70c | 358.89$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 67c | 271.46$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 79c | 268.01$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked AGELITE | 52c | 190.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 66c | 187.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed AGELITE | 40c | 184.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 71c | 162.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Crest Gaming Zst | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 74c | 146.78$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked AGELITE | 21c | 137.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed AGELITE | 48c | 109.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 75c | 108.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked AGELITE | 22c | 103$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed AGELITE | 34c | 102.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked AGELITE | 23c | 85.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed AGELITE | 33c | 81.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 77c | 76.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked AGELITE | 42c | 74.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed AGELITE | 30c | 49.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Crest Gaming Zst | 74c | 42.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 67c | 42.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Crest Gaming Zst | 74c | 27.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…2995backed Crest Gaming Zst | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Crest Gaming Zst | 54c | 23.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs AGELITE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Crest Gaming Zst (-2.5) vs AGELITE (+2.5)Crest Gaming Zst won
- Map Handicap: CGZ (-1.5) vs AGELITE (+1.5)Crest Gaming Zst won
- Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs AGELITE (BO3) - VCL Japan Main StageCrest Gaming Zst won
- Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs AGELITE - Map 1 WinnerCrest Gaming Zst won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.