Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs AGELITE (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x627075c650d293a30f870e218e648708cc21cdae8c59f209ea718d28657972a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crest Gaming Zstof Crest Gaming Zst, AGELITE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcaeb…92f6backed AGELITE | 26c | 4,969$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.83 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed AGELITE | 22c | 2,680$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.04 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Crest Gaming Zst | 74c | 2,670$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.15 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked Crest Gaming Zst | 73c | 1,608$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.87 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked AGELITE | 25c | 1,320$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.62 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked AGELITE | 21c | 940.29$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.58 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…13dabacked AGELITE | 27c | 923.64$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.63 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed AGELITE | 9c | 888.84$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…5d04backed AGELITE | 28c | 856.64$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.08 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Crest Gaming Zst | 71c | 802$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.81 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 72c | 526.78$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed AGELITE | 29c | 524.14$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed AGELITE | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Crest Gaming Zst | 73c | 396.31$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed AGELITE | 29c | 313.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked AGELITE | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed AGELITE | 17c | 274.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Crest Gaming Zst | 72c | 250.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked AGELITE | 28c | 240$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed AGELITE | 26c | 218.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked AGELITE | 8c | 206.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked AGELITE | 30c | 144.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab5…35d8backed Crest Gaming Zst | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 75cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed AGELITE | 21c | 132$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed AGELITE | 15c | 130.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Crest Gaming Zst | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed AGELITE | 10c | 125.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked AGELITE | 10c | 122.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed AGELITE | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked AGELITE | 20c | 102$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked AGELITE | 14c | 100.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Crest Gaming Zst | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 69c | 87.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked AGELITE | 23c | 86.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed AGELITE | 25c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed AGELITE | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed AGELITE | 17c | 78.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked AGELITE | 22c | 73.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed Crest Gaming Zst | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed AGELITE | 26c | 68.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed AGELITE | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Crest Gaming Zst | 70c | 56.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -18.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed AGELITE | 28c | 55.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed AGELITE | 20c | 55.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9d…6703backed Crest Gaming Zst | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked AGELITE | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed AGELITE | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Crest Gaming Zst | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed AGELITE | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Crest Gaming Zst | 74c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…0e8cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 74c | 25.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Crest Gaming Zst | 78c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs AGELITE (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stagethis page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Crest Gaming Zst (-2.5) vs AGELITE (+2.5)Crest Gaming Zst won
- Map Handicap: CGZ (-1.5) vs AGELITE (+1.5)Crest Gaming Zst won
- Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs AGELITE - Map 1 WinnerCrest Gaming Zst won
- Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs AGELITE - Map 2 WinnerCrest Gaming Zst won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.