Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Gijs Brouwer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cd08e6b46b803f89d623ea80bc1885300f66d293919a5fa9844457a35632cd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucas Poullainof Lucas Poullain, Gijs Brouwer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gijs Brouwer | 4c | 16,710$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.38 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Gijs Brouwer | 12c | 4,827$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gijs Brouwer | 2c | 4,106$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Gijs Brouwer | 2c | 4,000$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gijs Brouwer | 37c | 3,184$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…0939backed Lucas Poullain | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Gijs Brouwer | 38c | 2,895$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Gijs Brouwer | 2c | 1,438$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Gijs Brouwer | 29c | 1,320$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.8 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Lucas Poullain | 62c | 1,117$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.43 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Lucas Poullain | 62c | 905.74$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.18 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Gijs Brouwer | 4c | 564.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Gijs Brouwer | 14c | 492.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Gijs Brouwer | 4c | 458.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Gijs Brouwer | 15c | 418.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Gijs Brouwer | 10c | 376.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lucas Poullain | 76c | 313.87$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Gijs Brouwer | 4c | 265.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lucas Poullain | 75c | 248.26$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Gijs Brouwer | 8c | 246.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Gijs Brouwer | 7c | 219.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Lucas Poullain | 63c | 214.57$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Lucas Poullain | 65c | 202$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Lucas Poullain | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Gijs Brouwer | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gijs Brouwer | 15c | 164.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Lucas Poullain | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b2…14c2backed Lucas Poullain | 64c | 151.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Gijs Brouwer | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Gijs Brouwer | 38c | 123.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…99a6backed Gijs Brouwer | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Lucas Poullain | 63c | 95.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb034…28b5backed Lucas Poullain | 67c | 85.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Gijs Brouwer | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Lucas Poullain | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Gijs Brouwer | 37c | 79.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Gijs Brouwer | 27c | 75.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 507 | 36.1%183 W · 324 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gijs Brouwer | 36c | 69.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Lucas Poullain | 62c | 61.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…d6d8backed Lucas Poullain | 62c | 56.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Lucas Poullain | 71c | 53.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Gijs Brouwer | 35c | 51.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Lucas Poullain | 65c | 51.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…557abacked Gijs Brouwer | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Gijs Brouwer | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Gijs Brouwer | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f7cfbacked Gijs Brouwer | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Lucas Poullain | 73c | 23.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Lucas Poullain | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Lucas Poullain | 62c | 20.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Lucas Poullain | 62c | 20.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Lucas Poullain | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Lucas Poullain | 79c | 17.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.