Tennis · resolved market
Sao Paulo: Juan Bautista Torres vs Murkel Dellien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d1c210ce6efc9ed5f5071ef4757a2f0826431d18f101c6388e3cf3f28a1a08e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Bautista Torresof Juan Bautista Torres, Murkel Dellien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,343 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Murkel Dellien | 35c | 5,692$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.31 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…1761backed Murkel Dellien | 0c | 4,715$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Juan Bautista Torres | 73c | 4,673$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.2 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Murkel Dellien | 23c | 1,857$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.93 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 66c | 1,285$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.65 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Murkel Dellien | 57c | 867.68$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.87 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Murkel Dellien | 14c | 750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Murkel Dellien | 51c | 687.73$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.12 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Murkel Dellien | 15c | 610.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Murkel Dellien | 6c | 531.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Murkel Dellien | 52c | 479.38$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 6c | 404.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.07 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Murkel Dellien | 32c | 387.46$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Murkel Dellien | 27c | 361.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Murkel Dellien | 35c | 288.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Murkel Dellien | 35c | 251.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Murkel Dellien | 34c | 242$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Juan Bautista Torres | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Murkel Dellien | 22c | 233$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…fb1cbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 73c | 232.96$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Murkel Dellien | 62c | 223.05$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Murkel Dellien | 29c | 216.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 44c | 197.46$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Murkel Dellien | 38c | 182.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Murkel Dellien | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Murkel Dellien | 22c | 151.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Juan Bautista Torres | 37c | 129.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed Juan Bautista Torres | 74c | 112.49$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Murkel Dellien | 54c | 102.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Juan Bautista Torres | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Juan Bautista Torres | 72c | 93.15$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Murkel Dellien | 23c | 91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Juan Bautista Torres | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Juan Bautista Torres | 36c | 80.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Juan Bautista Torres | 21c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…e665backed Murkel Dellien | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Juan Bautista Torres | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Juan Bautista Torres | 49c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Murkel Dellien | 40c | 69.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 17c | 69.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…accbbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 52c | 68.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Murkel Dellien | 62c | 61.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Murkel Dellien | 42c | 61.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Murkel Dellien | 77c | 56.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Juan Bautista Torres | 68c | 55.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Murkel Dellien | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Murkel Dellien | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Murkel Dellien | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Murkel Dellien | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 331 | 63.7%211 W · 120 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Juan Bautista Torres | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Murkel Dellien | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Murkel Dellien | 52c | 38.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Murkel Dellien | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Murkel Dellien | 78c | 36.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 78c | 36.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Murkel Dellien | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Juan Bautista Torres | 63c | 35.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Murkel Dellien | 43c | 33.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Murkel Dellien | 34c | 33.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Murkel Dellien | 53c | 32.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 167 | 18.6%31 W · 136 L | -23.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4296…fca1backed Murkel Dellien | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 79c | 26.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 163 | 69.3%113 W · 50 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Murkel Dellien | 73c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 48c | 25.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Juan Bautista Torres | 80c | 24.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…6822backed Juan Bautista Torres | 75c | 15.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.