WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d2e18d5d50d4bda9ce7a9b80b997a6d086e030e6c66e19fe0eaf046b08993a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 55c | 3,215$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.47 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 45c | 3,210$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.74 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 2,033$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.85 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 1,724$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.76 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 49c | 702.85$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.6 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 524.81$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.3 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Under | 51c | 455.78$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 60c | 315.23$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.31 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 50c | 289.05$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 267.55$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Over | 47c | 259$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 229.21$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 50c | 150.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 49.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 50c | 39.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Under | 48c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 47c | 29.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 50c | 25.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 171.5this page
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-7.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-8.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix MercuryToronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 169.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 170.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.